Looking At The Adjusted Conference Standings

In the table below, teams are ordered by their expected conference records, which are derived from each team's offensive and defensive efficiency in conference play. Expected W-L records are calculated using the pythagorean theorem, and you can read all about it here.

EFF Margin = OFF EFF - DEF EFF
ExpW-L = Expected Win-Loss Record
ActW-L = Actual Win-Loss Record

Conference Games OnlyRank TeamGamesOFF EFF (Rk)
DEF EFF (Rk)
EFF MarginExpW-LActW-L1 UNC11112.1 (2)
91.3 (1)
20.810-18-3
2 Duke12104.1 (7)
96.5 (2)
7.68-4
6-63 Boston College
12113.3 (1)
107.0 (7)
6.38-49-34 Virginia Tech
11107.5 (4)
105.7 (6)
1.86-58-35Virginia11103.5 (8)
101.8 (T3)
1.76-58-36 Clemson11103.2 (9)
102.6 (5)
0.66-55-67 Maryland11102.2 (10)
101.8 (T3)
0.46-55-68 Florida State
12109.7 (3)
110.3 (10)
-0.66-65-79Georgia Tech
11106.5 (6)
107.2 (8)
-0.75-65-610NC State
11101.3 (11)
112.1 (11)
-10.83-83-811 Miami11106.7 (5)
119.5 (12)
-12.82-93-812Wake Forest1293.9 (12)
108.0 (9)
-14.12-103-9
(The conference average is about 105 for OFF EFF and DEF EFF.)

You can see the tiers breaking down like so:

North Carolina


Duke
Boston College

Virginia Tech
Virginia
Clemson
Maryland
Florida State
Georgia Tech

NC State
Miami
Wake