In the table below, teams are ordered by their expected conference records, which are derived from each team's offensive and defensive efficiency in conference play. Expected W-L records are calculated using the pythagorean theorem, and you can read all about it here.
EFF Margin = OFF EFF - DEF EFF
ExpW-L = Expected Win-Loss Record
ActW-L = Actual Win-Loss Record
Conference Games OnlyRank TeamGamesOFF EFF (Rk)
DEF EFF (Rk)
EFF MarginExpW-LActW-L1 UNC11112.1 (2)
91.3 (1)
20.810-18-3
2 Duke12104.1 (7)
96.5 (2)
7.68-4
6-63 Boston College
12113.3 (1)
107.0 (7)
6.38-49-34 Virginia Tech
11107.5 (4)
105.7 (6)
1.86-58-35Virginia11103.5 (8)
101.8 (T3)
1.76-58-36 Clemson11103.2 (9)
102.6 (5)
0.66-55-67 Maryland11102.2 (10)
101.8 (T3)
0.46-55-68 Florida State
12109.7 (3)
110.3 (10)
-0.66-65-79Georgia Tech
11106.5 (6)
107.2 (8)
-0.75-65-610NC State
11101.3 (11)
112.1 (11)
-10.83-83-811 Miami11106.7 (5)
119.5 (12)
-12.82-93-812Wake Forest1293.9 (12)
108.0 (9)
-14.12-103-9
(The conference average is about 105 for OFF EFF and DEF EFF.)
You can see the tiers breaking down like so:
North Carolina
Duke
Boston College
Virginia Tech
Virginia
Clemson
Maryland
Florida State
Georgia Tech
NC State
Miami
Wake
EFF Margin = OFF EFF - DEF EFF
ExpW-L = Expected Win-Loss Record
ActW-L = Actual Win-Loss Record
Conference Games OnlyRank TeamGamesOFF EFF (Rk)
DEF EFF (Rk)
EFF MarginExpW-LActW-L1 UNC11112.1 (2)
91.3 (1)
20.810-18-3
2 Duke12104.1 (7)
96.5 (2)
7.68-4
6-63 Boston College
12113.3 (1)
107.0 (7)
6.38-49-34 Virginia Tech
11107.5 (4)
105.7 (6)
1.86-58-35Virginia11103.5 (8)
101.8 (T3)
1.76-58-36 Clemson11103.2 (9)
102.6 (5)
0.66-55-67 Maryland11102.2 (10)
101.8 (T3)
0.46-55-68 Florida State
12109.7 (3)
110.3 (10)
-0.66-65-79Georgia Tech
11106.5 (6)
107.2 (8)
-0.75-65-610NC State
11101.3 (11)
112.1 (11)
-10.83-83-811 Miami11106.7 (5)
119.5 (12)
-12.82-93-812Wake Forest1293.9 (12)
108.0 (9)
-14.12-103-9
(The conference average is about 105 for OFF EFF and DEF EFF.)
You can see the tiers breaking down like so:
North Carolina
Duke
Boston College
Virginia Tech
Virginia
Clemson
Maryland
Florida State
Georgia Tech
NC State
Miami
Wake