The Early Numbers

by Akula Wolf on Dec 2, 2009 7:46 PM EST

In the Northwestern recap I mentioned that the Pack's second half rebounding hasn't been so good, and you can see what I mean below. I went ahead and broke the other factors down by half as well.

NCSU Offense	OFF EFF	eFG%	TO%	OR%	FTR
1st Half	103.9	48.4	19.6	34.7	42.3
2nd Half	96.1	45.9	23.1	31.6	46.6

NCSU Defense	DEF EFF	eFG%	TO%	OR%	FTR
1st Half	81.6	44.4	23.3	29.0	15.4
2nd Half	91.4	44.3	21.6	36.0	34.9

Allowing opponents to grab 36% of their misses is not good by any standard, and what really concerns me is that we haven't played teams that have been particularly tall or talented in the front court. What happens when we have to deal with Wake Forest or North Carolina or Florida State or Georgia Tech? Why do those teams have to be so damned tall? Not very considerate of them. Overall, we've allowed opponents to grab a third of their misses, which is the bare minimum percentage you want to see from your defense. That's mediocre and thus not bad, but against this group of opponents, we needed to see a number much better than that (sub-30%) to feel good about an improvement in this area. As it is, I expect conference foes to grab 40% of their misses against us for approximately the 16th* year in a row.

(* -- slight exaggeration)

On to the individuals:

	%Min	ORtg	%Poss	%Shots	eFG%	OR%	DR%	Ast%	TO%	FTR
Macrowave	78.3	106.0	29.6	32.3	49.3	12.3	23.1	7.9	14.6	51.9
Dennis Horner	76.2	116.4	19.5	22.4	63.4	4.0	12.4	4.3	19.2	38.4
Javier Gonzalez	77.5	88.7	27.2	21.6	40.1	3.2	15.1	47.0 (!)	28.3	52.9
Scott Wood	75.0	92.4	14.9	15.7	48.6	4.0	9.6	10.8	27.9	19.4
Julius Mays	62.0	100.7	16.4	15.8	40.0	0.8	2.9	14.2	20.5	63.3
C.J. Williams	60.4	96.1	12.9	15.7	50.0	5.0	9.7	9.2	23.3	3.4
DeShawn Painter	20.8	74.1	21.3	22.1	28.5	12.2	4.3	0	17.6	57.1
Jordan Vandenberg	20.8	91.4	11.2	9.4	16.6	7.3	21.7	3.8	22.2	100
Josh Davis	22.9	111.3	11.3	10.0	42.8	15.5	5.9	22.5	10.0	57.1

If you ask for a nickel, Javi's gonna hand you a dime...

	Pts/40	Rebs/40	Asts/40	TOs/40	Fouls/40	FGA/40
Macrowave	22.1	12.6	1.1	2.8	3.6	16.4
Dennis Horner	18.1	5.9	0.7	2.4	2.8	11.4
Javier Gonzalez	12.5	6.7	8.4	4.9	2.4	11
Scott Wood	9.1	4.9	2	2.7	2	8
Julius Mays	10.7	1.3	2.7	2.1	3.8	8.1
C.J. Williams	8.3	5.2	1.7	1.9	2.2	8
DeShawn Painter	9.6	5.6	0	2.4	4.8	11.2
Jordan Vandenberg	5.6	10.4	0.8	1.6	6.4	4.8
Josh Davis	4.4	7.3	4.4	0.7	2.2	5.1

Tracy is shouldering an enormous workload, and both Dennis Horner and Javier Gonzalez have significantly upped their workloads as well. There's too much burden on those guys right now, too much passivity/ineffectiveness from the rest of the roster. C.J. Williams, who is no more involved offensively this year than he was in 2009, has to look for more scoring opportunities.

And a reasonably consistent front court complement for Tracy would be nice. How's your knee, Richard?

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Comments

Nice entry Steven

I would guess that some of the increase in OR% is due to us being up on teams and them needing to crash the boards harder. Still it would be nice if State upped the effort level to combat that.

I find it amazing that Javi is the second best rebounder of the regulars. It would be nice if we could get some better rebounding performance out of Horner, but 3 years of play has proven that he just isn’t a high level rebounder. Hopefully Painter and Howell will help.

by PACKHOOLIGAN on Dec 3, 2009 8:13 AM EST reply actions

Ideally,

you would think you’d have 3 big men crashing the boards and have your two guards retreating to prevent a breakaway basket. With Javy crashing the boards, it’s almost the reverse.

I’ve just been really impressed with JG this year so far. His effort level and focus has really improved. I don’t think he’ll be talented enough to keep Ryan Harrow on the bench next year, and I imagine he knows it, so he’s making the most of this season.

All Wolfpack, all the time.

by YANCSSB on Dec 3, 2009 10:17 AM EST reply actions