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The Early Numbers

In the Northwestern recap I mentioned that the Pack's second half rebounding hasn't been so good, and you can see what I mean below.  I went ahead and broke the other factors down by half as well.

 

NCSU Offense OFF EFF eFG% TO% OR% FTR
1st Half 103.9 48.4 19.6 34.7 42.3
2nd Half 96.1 45.9 23.1 31.6 46.6

 

NCSU Defense DEF EFF eFG% TO% OR% FTR
1st Half 81.6 44.4 23.3 29.0 15.4
2nd Half 91.4 44.3 21.6 36.0 34.9

 

Allowing opponents to grab 36% of their misses is not good by any standard, and what really concerns me is that we haven't played teams that have been particularly tall or talented in the front court.  What happens when we have to deal with Wake Forest or North Carolina or Florida State or Georgia Tech?  Why do those teams have to be so damned tall?  Not very considerate of them.  Overall, we've allowed opponents to grab a third of their misses, which is the bare minimum percentage you want to see from your defense.  That's mediocre and thus not bad, but against this group of opponents, we needed to see a number much better than that (sub-30%) to feel good about an improvement in this area.  As it is, I expect conference foes to grab 40% of their misses against us for approximately the 16th* year in a row.

(* -- slight exaggeration)

On to the individuals:

Star-divide


%Min ORtg %Poss %Shots eFG% OR% DR% Ast% TO% FTR
Macrowave 78.3 106.0 29.6 32.3 49.3 12.3 23.1 7.9 14.6 51.9
Dennis Horner 76.2 116.4 19.5 22.4 63.4 4.0 12.4 4.3 19.2 38.4
Javier Gonzalez 77.5 88.7 27.2 21.6 40.1 3.2 15.1 47.0 (!)
28.3 52.9
Scott Wood 75.0 92.4 14.9 15.7 48.6 4.0 9.6 10.8 27.9 19.4
Julius Mays 62.0 100.7 16.4 15.8 40.0 0.8 2.9 14.2 20.5 63.3
C.J. Williams 60.4 96.1 12.9 15.7 50.0 5.0 9.7 9.2 23.3 3.4
DeShawn Painter 20.8 74.1 21.3 22.1 28.5 12.2 4.3 0 17.6 57.1
Jordan Vandenberg 20.8 91.4 11.2 9.4 16.6 7.3 21.7 3.8 22.2 100
Josh Davis 22.9 111.3 11.3 10.0 42.8 15.5 5.9 22.5 10.0 57.1

 

If you ask for a nickel, Javi's gonna hand you a dime...

Pts/40 Rebs/40 Asts/40 TOs/40 Fouls/40 FGA/40
Macrowave 22.1 12.6 1.1 2.8 3.6 16.4
Dennis Horner 18.1 5.9 0.7 2.4 2.8 11.4
Javier Gonzalez 12.5 6.7 8.4 4.9 2.4 11
Scott  Wood 9.1 4.9 2 2.7 2 8
Julius Mays 10.7 1.3 2.7 2.1 3.8 8.1
C.J. Williams 8.3 5.2 1.7 1.9 2.2 8
DeShawn Painter 9.6 5.6 0 2.4 4.8 11.2
Jordan Vandenberg 5.6 10.4 0.8 1.6 6.4 4.8
Josh Davis 4.4 7.3 4.4 0.7 2.2 5.1

 

Tracy is shouldering an enormous workload, and both Dennis Horner and Javier Gonzalez have significantly upped their workloads as well.  There's too much burden on those guys right now, too much passivity/ineffectiveness from the rest of the roster.  C.J. Williams, who is no more involved offensively this year than he was in 2009,  has to look for more scoring opportunities. 

And a reasonably consistent front court complement for Tracy would be nice.  How's your knee, Richard?

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Nice entry Steven

I would guess that some of the increase in OR% is due to us being up on teams and them needing to crash the boards harder. Still it would be nice if State upped the effort level to combat that.

I find it amazing that Javi is the second best rebounder of the regulars. It would be nice if we could get some better rebounding performance out of Horner, but 3 years of play has proven that he just isn’t a high level rebounder. Hopefully Painter and Howell will help.

by PACKHOOLIGAN on Dec 3, 2009 8:13 AM EST reply actions  

Ideally,

you would think you’d have 3 big men crashing the boards and have your two guards retreating to prevent a breakaway basket. With Javy crashing the boards, it’s almost the reverse.

I’ve just been really impressed with JG this year so far. His effort level and focus has really improved. I don’t think he’ll be talented enough to keep Ryan Harrow on the bench next year, and I imagine he knows it, so he’s making the most of this season.

All Wolfpack, all the time.

by YANCSSB on Dec 3, 2009 10:17 AM EST reply actions  

Steven, did you have to calc. these numbers by hand?

If so, are you employed? Jesus. Please tell me you have a macro or something set up to calculate this kind of stuff.

All Wolfpack, all the time.

by YANCSSB on Dec 3, 2009 10:26 AM EST reply actions  

i have a spreadsheet that handles it

Fortunately for my sanity, all I have to do is plug in the box score data.

by Akula Wolf on Dec 4, 2009 5:33 PM EST up reply actions  

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