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Previewing Duke

2009 Scouting Report / 2009 Game Plan / 2010 Scouting Report / 2010 Game Plan
2010 Stats
2010 Roster
2010 Schedule

 

Duke Offense 08-09
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 50.5 106
Turnover Rate 17.4 21
Off Reb Rate 37.5 32
FTA/FGA 41.3 46
Duke Offense 09-10
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 53.8 29
Turnover Rate 16.4 12
Off Reb Rate 40.7 13
FTA/FGA 36.4 192

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Note: liveblog on.) 

Behold the honkeynaut.  There is not a single thing that this offense, which ranks first in adjusted offensive efficiency, does poorly.  A team that shoots well inside, outside, from the line, takes care of the ball like that and offensive rebounds like that?  It's almost unfair.  Running your offense through three guys--Singler, Scheyer, Smith--who shoot well and take care of the basketball is a luxury that allows for some scary-good efficiency.

 

Starters:

Jon Scheyer (6-5, 190) -- Tough to argue against Scheyer as ACC Player of the Year right now.  He's hitting over 50% of his twos, 38.3% of his threes, 90.5% of his free throws, while turning the ball over a measly 10.4% of the time.  No wonder his offensive rating is the fourth best in the country.

Nolan Smith (6-2, 185) -- A lot of Gerald Henderson's possessions have ended up in Smith's hands, and so far, so good.  Fifty percent three-point shooting helps.

Kyle Singler (6-8, 230) -- I guess Singler's season would have to be considered a mild disappointment at this point.  His numbers are down in a lot of areas despite a lighter workload.  I would've bet on a big game from him were it not for his wrist injury.  Let's hope it's plenty sore.

Lance Thomas (6-8, 225) -- You got Lanced!  The day that phrase landed on Duke's cheer sheet is the day the Cameron Crazies removed any remaining doubt they were skating by on reputation alone.  Perhaps they threw it in there for the irony of it, as there are no known Lancings on record.  Unless you count all the times he hacks the shit out of somebody.  I appreciate him for being a Duke player with the courtesy to suck yet despise him for no apparent reason.  This is what the Duke uniform does to me.

Miles Plumlee (6-10, 240) -- Fantastic rebounder at both ends and a 65.5% shooter in the paint.  Needs to get the turnover rate down but he's otherwise been a brilliant role player. 

Bench:

Andre Dawkins (6-4, 190), Brian Zoubek (7-1, 260), Mason Plumlee (6-10, 230), Ryan Kelly (6-10, 220)

Fouls/40:

Zoubek: 8.5
Mi. Plumlee: 6.4
Ma. Plumlee: 6.3
Thomas: 5.3
Kelly: 4.7

"Ok but on my way out, I'm going to be doing this [windmills arms], and if you get hit, it's your own fault."  

 

dukeD

 

Duke Defense 08-09
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 47.8 108
Turnover Rate 23.3 30
Off Reb Rate 32.9 179
FTA/FGA 31.0 56
Duke Defense 09-10
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 41.9 9
Turnover Rate 22.1 107
Off Reb Rate 32.9 178
FTA/FGA 33.7 108

 

 

 

 

 

 

As per usual, Duke makes life outside the arc impossible for opponents, funneling them inside whether they like it or not.  What's especially scary about this team is its wealth of interior size, which is a perfect complement to that philosophy.  Their opponents' results haven't been pretty.

The Pomeroy Predictor likes Duke by 14.

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Comments

Display:

My God, Plumlee could be your twin!!!!

And if Jules thought State was “pale” a couple weeks ago, she’s gonna think Duke got run through the bleach cycle…

by wolfonthehill on Jan 20, 2010 6:54 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Well,

I’m just going to stand here kicking my legs like this.

by PACKHOOLIGAN on Jan 20, 2010 8:10 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I again have no hopes

of winning this game, so I will talk about something else.

Did anyone see the Clemson-GT game last night? I was intrigued by the last play Oliver Purnell drew up for Clemson. For those that did not see it, Clemson had 3.2 seconds to go full court, down by 2. The play involved a pass to another player standing out of bounds, followed by a deep lob to the original inbounder, who took off after the first pass. It failed miserably and as I was watching it, I thought to myself, “This play can not have a high rate of success.” I guess it is probably better than the 3/4 court jumpball (which State has utilized a lot at end of game situations with zero success).

I think 3.2 seconds would have been enough time to try to get the ball to Stitt and let him drive up court all willy-nilly.

by PACKHOOLIGAN on Jan 20, 2010 8:18 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

How about that shot in which Grant was fouled

in a Florida tournament a few years back. Against Villanova-right? was not that a 3/4 court pass, or am i dreaming? if so, it can work-not that i am defending State’s use of such a pass.

Unless, one is a Florida player, the changes of scoring in 3 seconds or so when passing the ball in from under the opposing team’s basket is slim-very slim.

by sbas2 on Jan 20, 2010 8:48 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Yes, it worked against nova

because grant got the foul call. I just think that is the least creative play. Plus, it is hard for a player to come down with the ball cleanly, set himself, and get off a half-decent shot. Plus, the player catching it is usually a big guy who has even less chance of hitting a long range shot.

IMO, the best play is to get a pass to a quick guard who has already turned upcourt. In reality, there is not sure fire way to get a decent shot with so little time, needing to go full court. The way I see it, the chances to even get a shot off are much less using the full court pass, which is why I don’t like that play.

by PACKHOOLIGAN on Jan 20, 2010 9:12 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

SFN made mention of State's

last two games against Duke. Here is my recollection of certain plays in those games.
in the game in Raleigh two years ago State was either tied or up by one with time running out when Duke’s star guard of the day walked on his way to the basket, but it wasn’t called, and was fouled by McCauley when he wasn’t. Last year State led by 10-12 at the half. after half time Duke came storming back. Seems i remember there being some incident at the end of the first half (dirty play by Duke?) which had the State coaches staring down the Duke players and coaches. to move forward in the game, the play i liked (lying) the most was when Paulus kicked the ball from Havi, traped it with the bottom of his foot and rolled it to himself for a steal. this goes along with the walk which isn’t a walk and the fouled which isn’t a fouled in that its a kick which isn’t a kick. only when playing Duke and what will happen tonight?

by sbas2 on Jan 20, 2010 11:43 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Ugh

2 years back – that was Demarcus Nelson. Correct on both counts – should’ve been a walk, not a foul. But…. but….. good teams overcome bad officiating!!!! Bullshit.

Last year – we’re kicking their asses at halftime on one liveblog, and Steven switches to a different liveblog thread at halftime. Ballgame. Thanks, Steven.

by wolfonthehill on Jan 20, 2010 1:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

what will happen tonight?

Tracy has two fouls in the first four minutes?

by Akula Wolf on Jan 20, 2010 1:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Tracy gets called for his first foul

challenging a Miles Plumlee shot after Plumlee goes over Tracy’s back for an offensive rebound. The second foul will be a bullshit charge. This all occurs within the first 2 minutes. Whoever the ref is that calls both fouls then peels off a fake face as Tracy walks to the bench, revealing himself to be Karl Hess.

by PACKHOOLIGAN on Jan 20, 2010 3:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Y'all are way off

I just heard a whistle. Mark it down – at 4:14pm, Tracy Smith just picked up his first foul trying to play around the high ball screen at the top of the circle.

Crap – at 4:15pm, Wood picked up his first on a clean block.

by wolfonthehill on Jan 20, 2010 4:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs


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