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Around SBN: Which Players Will Join The 3,000-Hit Club?

Previewing Maryland

2009 Scouting Report / 2009 Game Plan / 2010 Scouting Report / 2010 Game Plan
2010 Stats (pdf)
2010 Roster
2010 Schedule

 

Maryland Offense 08-09
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 47.0 246
Turnover Rate 17.4 23
Off Reb Rate 34.7 99
FTA/FGA 28.0 334
Maryland Offense 09-10
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 53.1 44
Turnover Rate 16.5 11
Off Reb Rate 35.0 96
FTA/FGA 35.2 227

 

 

 

 

 

 

Last year's Terps did some things well at the offensive end, but those minor strengths weren't enough to overcome poor shooting inside and out.  All four factors declined in conference play and Maryland averaged just under a point per trip.  Not a disaster, but pretty close.

No such issues this season, as they've rediscovered their two-point accuracy (in non-conference play, anyway) and have for the first time since 2007 not just reliable but excellent outside shooting (though they still don't like to take a lot of threes).  Landon Milbourne and Sean Mosley have been effective in the paint, while Greivis Vasquez and Eric Hayes are having career years from beyond the arc.

Starters:

Greivis Vasquez (6-6, 200) -- A career 32.5% three-point shooter, he's hitting 36.9% this year.  Otherwise, it's business as usual.  Good assist and turnover rates, modest success scoring the ball inside the arc, huge workload, vast amounts of panache.

Eric Hayes (6-4, 180) -- Always deadly from outside and this season is no exception.

Sean Mosley (6-4, 210) -- Couldn't hit anything as a freshman in '09, can't miss anything as a sophomore in '10.  He's off to a slow start in conference play, and like the Maryland offense in general, I'm just not sure I buy the significant improvement yet.  Decent offensive rebounder who does a good job getting to the line, where is effective.

Landon Milbourne (6-7, 205) -- Having a career year despite being responsible for more possessions than he ever has before.  His two-point effectiveness has increased every year and he's a pretty good outside shooter too, on the rare occasions he decides to shoot from out there.

Jordan Williams (6-10, 260) -- Maryland's best rebounder at both ends of the court, though when it comes to the defensive end that's not saying a whole lot.  The scoring touch isn't there yet but unlike a lot of freshmen his size, he's not prone to turnovers.  In fact his turnover rate is among the lowest on the team.

Bench:

Adrian Bowie (6-2, 190), Cliff Tucker (6-6, 205), James Padgett (6-8, 225), Dino Gregory (6-7, 230).  Outside of Vasquez and Milbourne, it's a committee approach for the Terps, and that extends to the bench.  Bowie and Gregory have been yikes shooting the basketball; Tucker and Padgett have been solid in limited roles.

 

Maryland Defense 08-09
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 48.1 123
Turnover Rate 21.9 83
Off Reb Rate 36.9 310
FTA/FGA 30.2 39
Maryland Defense 09-10
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 43.3 14
Turnover Rate 23.0 61
Off Reb Rate 35.8 274
FTA/FGA 28.6 26

 

 

 

 

 

 

Their FG% defense has been outstanding, but this isn't a big team.  NC State is going to need another sharp, relatively turnover-free effort from its guards if they're going to make Maryland's lackluster defensive rebounding matter.  I think that's going to have to matter if the Pack's going to pull off this upset.

Pomeroy Predictor likes the Terps by 10.

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The question is

can State control Vasquez at all. if State can get the ball to Smith he should get plenty of points again. another thing State has in its favor is Wood, and remember that Mays had a big game against Maryland in the ACC tournament.
Hayes went to the same school that my son did. his father was the coach there and i saw Hayes play some when he was in high school. his father was an outstanding high school coach, and once he took over at Potomac High in Woodbridge, Potomac became a power house. State hasn’t beaten Maryland since Hayes has been there, not that Hayes has been the major reason. i might also add that Sendek recruited Hayes, but Hayes was a big Maryland fan and went there went Gary offered. of course Sendek got Larry Davis instead and we all know that story-State got lucky and Davis went to the Hall.
Just finished watching the women beat Wake. While the women didn’t appear to be ready to play, they lucked out and won after Gartrel hit a big three to tie and White dribble the length of the floor after Wake missed to make a fall away jumper for the win. is the State jinx gone?

by sbas2 on Jan 22, 2010 8:46 PM EST reply actions  

I with this board was more active. From a MD fan, it would be interesting to hear how the fans are approaching this game.

On our end, we see it as a toss up, but feel like it is a must win for use.

My thought is that, to win, we have to try and get your bigs in a little foul trouble, but am not sure if that will happen. Either way, let’s hope it is an exciting game and best of luck the rest of the season.

by nmprisons on Jan 23, 2010 11:44 AM EST reply actions  

We fare pretty poorly against UMd in the best of years

With their uptick in offensive efficiency, plus the likelihood of a Duke hangover, I’m not liking our chances tonight. (And for the record, for some reason I couldn’t explain, I fully expected a good showing against Duke – if not a win.)

Do we liveblog or let this one go?

(nmprisons – This board has great content, but isn’t as popular for random fan contributions… there are a couple places you can look for more of that, although the quality of the posts can be pretty erratic… swinging from “we’re going to win the national championship” to “we suck”, game by game…)

by wolfonthehill on Jan 23, 2010 1:18 PM EST reply actions  

If you all aren’t liveblogging, I invite you to the testudotimes.com liveblog. might be interesting to have both sets of fans on there (although I don’t vouch for the maturity of the other MD fans)

by nmprisons on Jan 23, 2010 1:39 PM EST up reply actions  

2 questions

1 – Are expletives allowed (or, as in our case, even encouraged?)
2 – If someone from here shows up, you need a key to some of the lingo…
“Flame Powah” or “Tattoo Powah” will be used in regard to Dennis Horner
Tracy Smith is the Macrowave… and his dunks will be followed emphatically with a “BOOM MOTHERFUCKERS!”
Any reference to sporting wood, pulling out our wood, etc… of course refers to Scott Wood
A “milk dud with lint” would be our coach
Everything else is likely self-explanatory…

by wolfonthehill on Jan 23, 2010 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

i can't vouch for our maturity either

In fact I make a point not to be mature during these things. Probably would just end up annoying for everybody.

by Akula Wolf on Jan 23, 2010 6:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Can't make the liveblog tonight

My brother and I will be in Comcast. Sitting near the student section. Wearing Kevlar. Toting Mace.

by TVP on Jan 23, 2010 4:00 PM EST reply actions  

I was shaking my head at your poor judgment...

… til I saw that you’re going in prepared for the assault… have fun, man…

by wolfonthehill on Jan 23, 2010 5:21 PM EST up reply actions  

I still don't

think we have anyone who can stop Grievis. I am assuming Maryland will not employ the same strategy as Duke of not doubling on Tracy, so State must take advantage of the open outside shots that result.

by PACKHOOLIGAN on Jan 23, 2010 5:53 PM EST reply actions  

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