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Previewing Wisconsin

2009 Scouting Report / 2009 Game Plan / 2010 Scouting Report / 2010 Game Plan / 2011 Scouting Report
2011 Stats
2011 Roster
2011 Schedule

Wisconsin Offense 08-09
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 49.9 133
Turnover Rate 16.0 5
Off Reb Rate 31.6 221
FTA/FGA 34.6 214
Wisconsin Offense 09-10
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 51.4 69
Turnover Rate 14.9 3
Off Reb Rate 30.5 249
FTA/FGA 32.5 296

 

 

 

 

 

In a certain sense, NC State has thrown everything but the kitchen sink at its decade-long defensive rebounding problem.  We've had tall teams, short teams, smart teams, dumb teams; big guards, guards slash forwards, quick forwards, hulking forwards; a Scooter, a Corn Dog, and a dude known as Big Lazy.  (In retrospect, Big Lazy may have been a misguided fix.)

Meanwhile, Bo Ryan simply threatens the look pictured above and his team grabs every defensive board in sight.  If looks could kill or, uh, rebound, that one certainly would.  He'll have to be forgiven these occasional moments of extreme disbelief, because his program's staples--defensive rebounding among them--have become so ingrained as to be assumed.  You pretty much know what you're going to get from Wisconsin: they will play deliberately (last year they were one of the five slowest teams in the country), they will rarely turn the ball over, and they will clean up the defensive glass.

TO% (Rank) Def Reb % (Rank)
2003 16.5 (5) 71.2(11)
2004 16.0 (4) 69.5 (38)
2005 17.9 (22) 74.1 (2)
2006 17.3 (9) 68.1 (72)
2007 17.3 (19) 71.5 (9)
2008 19.1 (60) 71.3 (21)
2009 16.0 (5) 73.7 (4)
2010 14.9 (3) 73.7 (2)


What this means in general terms is that the Badgers are going to get more shots at the basket than their opponents, night in, night out.  Ryan doesn't bring in star-studded recruiting classes very often, but he's as good as it gets at developing the well-regarded players he does sign and building smart teams.  (It's probably redundant at this point, but for the sake of full disclosure I'll note that I have a slight man-crush on Bo Ryan.  If his program had any sex appeal, he'd be rolling in a Scrooge McDuck-sized pool of rings.)

Starters

Jordan Taylor (6-1, 195) -- Taylor took a big step forward as a sophomore in 2010 and was about as efficient as guy shooting 45.7% could be.  His assist rate was good, and his turnover rate--a little under 12%--was phenomenal for a point guard.  The lingering question, especially for someone who figures to be a big part of the offense in 2011, is his shooting accuracy.  He improved his effectiveness from the stripe in 2010, which is a start.  But he wasn't very accurate inside or out, and he took a lot of shots.

Josh Gasser (6-3, 185) -- Gasser is responding well for a freshman, at least early on.  It helps to be eased in as a role player.  He's scored effectively from two and at the line, but the outside shot isn't there yet.  If his high FT% is an accurate reflection of his ability there, his three-point shooting should come around.

Mike Bruesewitz (6-6, 220) -- Bruesewitz didn't prove much as a freshman in 2010 except that he could rebound.  His minutes have increased this season but his role has not, and that's allowed him to become an effective spot-scorer in the early going.  How well he holds up in conference play remains to be seen.

Jon Leuer (6-10, 228) -- Leuer has been a high-usage player since 2009, and he's gone from a somewhat questionable go-to guy to a bona fide one.  Last season he made 72% of his free throws, 55% of his twos, and 39% of his threes, rarely turning the ball over in the process.  Wisconsin doesn't place the emphasis on offensive rebounds that some schools do, and that's probably the main reason why his offensive rebounding percentage underwhelms; at the other end, though, he's a big part of the Badgers' success.

Keaton Nankivil (6-8, 240) -- An efficient scorer in the paint who isn't afraid to step out side and fire up a three.  Considering the disparity in effectiveness inside the arc and outside of it, he might be better off focusing more on the interior.  Wisconsin's best offensive rebounder.

Bench

Ryan Evans (6-6, 210), Tim Jarmusz (6-6, 205), Jared Berggren (6-10, 235), Rob Wilson (6-4, 198), Wquinton Smith (5-10, 205).  Evans is off to a tough start from the field, but he is an outstanding defensive rebounder for a 6-6 guy. 

Jarmusz got solid minutes last season but took only 8.6% of the shots, placing him high on the Cortney Dunn invisibility scale.  When he does shoot, it'll more often than not come from outside.  In '09 he was an effective three-point specialist, while last year he lost his touch.  Eighteen of his 21 FGAs this season have come from three.

Wquinton Smith is known primarily for his unusual first name, which is not a typo.  Or so his parents insist.  His profile helpfully notes that it's pronounced "Quinton," which makes the 'W' altogether pointless and a tad ostentatious.  Further, it creates a dangerous precedent for future generations, because what's to stop someone from naming his or her child, say, PPPpppFrankQQQqq.  That's not a country I can live in.

Wisconsin Defense 08-09
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 48.9 156
Turnover Rate 19.3 228
Off Reb Rate 26.3 4
FTA/FGA 34.1 122
Wisconsin Defense 09-10
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 46.8 77
Turnover Rate 20.0 201
Off Reb Rate 26.3 2
FTA/FGA 36.1 140

 

 

 

 

 

Wisconsin's FG% defense is typically good, and they grab three out of every four missed shots, so hey, who needs turnovers?  It must be nice, Wisconsin. It must be real nice.  God you guys are such jerks.

The Pomeroy Predictor likes Wisconsin by eight.

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Comments

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Team previews are awesome.

Never stop doing them.

My whole life revolves around reading these.

by pakfanistan on Nov 30, 2010 12:01 AM EST reply actions  

I like'm too

’cause now I know that either Jarmusz will shoot most of their shots and/or have a career night or Gasser will go 10-4-10 from the three.

by ncsumi on Nov 30, 2010 6:29 AM EST up reply actions  

I am prepared

to watch a really frustrating game. The georgetown game showed me State doesn’t have the attention span on defense to guard effectively for a 25-30 second possession. It will be interesting to see if the slow pace frustrates our freshmen. This is a game screaming for the macrowave and our ability to use him in half court sets. I am having nightmares thinking about Jordan guarding a guy out at the 3 point line.

by PACKHOOLIGAN on Nov 30, 2010 9:42 AM EST reply actions  

i see vandy is taking the zoubeck route of bball development

years 1-3: sub in and get 3 fouls called on him in less than a minute, all the while looking less and less athletic everytime he comes in. Epileptics cover their eyes for fear his spastic moves will trigger a violent seizure.

year 4: profit????

by NCchemwolf on Nov 30, 2010 12:37 PM EST reply actions  

hope so

But Zoubek was always a good rebounder, which V hasn’t been; Zoubek never made less than 50% of his twos in a season, and V’s got a long way to go before he gets to 50%, it seems.

by Akula Wolf on Nov 30, 2010 1:40 PM EST up reply actions  

I like Wisconsin by more like 18

I see a major el-foldo job on the road by the young kids… G’town, but starting much earlier…

by wolfonthehill on Nov 30, 2010 9:46 PM EST reply actions  

Looking for lunch today in Rock Hill SC

And wandered into the Winthrop coaches luncheon. Coach Peele talked about VMI being an upcoming opponent and how they scored 150 points last night. Actually, the final was 151-92. How is that for uptempo?

by Undertoe on Nov 30, 2010 9:52 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Wait!

When did we have a smart team? I mean, I’m feeling a bit like Rip van Winkle here… did I sleep through that season???

by wolfonthehill on Nov 30, 2010 10:39 PM EST reply actions  

Last night was bad for the ACC.

We really need to do out part tonight. GT was creamed by Northwestern, meanwhile UNC showed that it may not be a tournament team for the second year in a row. Surprisingly, the only ACC team to win was Wake Forest. 4-2, Big Ten, we need a sweep tonight (or close to it).

by georgetown wolf on Dec 1, 2010 8:33 AM EST reply actions  

Last nights matchups

were really unfavorable for the ACC. Today’s games should be better. Wake won after being down by 18.

FSU is still extremely offensively challenged. Their games are almost unbearable to watch.

GT is just all kinds of bad. Did you see the NW kid that dropped 21 on them? He looked like some kid they might pull out of the stands, not a high major Bball player.

Wake is also all kinds of bad, but so is Iowa.

UNC looks a lot like they did last year. They have no guards who can create in the halfcourt (except against NCSU I’m sure), bad perimeter shooting, and a thin frontcourt.

The clemson game was the only one last night that I thought the ACC might win, but I have no confidence in Clemson ever winning anything that even slightly resembles a tournament game.

by PACKHOOLIGAN on Dec 1, 2010 8:41 AM EST reply actions  

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