Previewing San Diego

2010 Scouting Report / 2010 Game Plan / 2011 Scouting Report / 2011 Game Plan
2011 Stats
2011 Roster
2011 Schedule

San Diego Offense 09-10
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 47.3 241
Turnover Rate 20.8 189
Off Reb Rate 28.7 297
FTA/FGA 36.1 216
San Diego Offense 10-11
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 45.9 254
Turnover Rate 23.8 295
Off Reb Rate 26.0 320
FTA/FGA 35.6 213

 

 

 

 

 

Prior to taking the head coaching job at San Diego, Bill Grier spent 16 years at Gonzaga, eight as Mark Few's #1 assistant.  I'm sure he seemed like a pretty awesome idea at the time.  Indeed, his first season was a big success, as the school beat Gonzaga in the WCC tournament final and then upset UConn in the first round of the NCAA tournament.  From there it's been hey where'd the cliff come from?  They finished 113th in the Pomeroy Ratings that first year (2008), 177th in year two,  219th in year three, and in this his fourth season they're sitting in 294th with a 3-10 record and just one win against a I-A team.  They aren't favored to win a single conference game.  As far as trends go...it could be better.

The Toreros lost their top four scorers from a season ago, and that's put a dent in their outside shooting and ball handling.  They were bad enough as it was; now they have one of the country's worst offenses and present another sad case of Chronic Brick Fatigue Syndrome.

Making matters worse, they're going to spend New Year's in a hotel on the other side of the country.  I feel like we should get them a card or something, maybe help them grab 30% of their misses.

Starters

Darian Norris (6-0, 180) -- The team's leading scorer at 10.4 PPG but not a very good shooter overall because his outside shot hasn't been there.  He needs to get to the line in order to be effective.  A decent distributor who turns the ball over a bit too much.

Devin Ginty (6-2, 180) -- A three-point specialist and a decent one, at least this season--he's shooting 37% from three.

Matt Dorr (6-4, 200) -- Dorr is an outstanding three-point shooter but doesn't generate a lot of offense for himself.  Although he's off to a chilly start this season, he is the perimeter guy NC State should be most concerned about.

Ken Rancifer (6-5, 215) -- San Diego's other double-digit scorer, and a rare example on this team of a player shooting the ball well with a high workload.  He has stepped up and taken a lot of the possessions vacated by USD's departures, and that's working out nicely, turnovers aside.  He's a threat to score inside and out.

Chris Manresa (6-8, 240) -- In 1+ seasons, Manresa has proven a capable defensive rebounder and low block scorer.  His turnover rate is way up this year, though.

Bench

Chris Gabriel (6-11, 285), Cameron Miles (6-1, 175), Jordan Mackie (6-4, 195), Trevor Fuller (6-8, 225), Dennis Kramer (6-10, 235), Ryan Harbour (6-4, 195).  Grier isn't afraid to go deep into his bench, and 11 different guys have started a game this season.  They may look to put a little more size in the starting lineup to match up with the Wolfpack.  It's always difficult to tell with teams like this, though the five guys I've listed as starters should see the most playing time.

Gabriel is a bulging, beastly man, and an incredible black hole.  He doesn't spend a lot of time on the floor because he can't seem to stay out of foul trouble (8.3 fouls per 40 minutes), but when he gets the ball he's not wasting any time--he's taking nearly a third of the team's shots and boasts a single assist.  He might have a decent field goal percentage if he could dial it back a tad.

Mackie is shooting pretty well but turning the ball over like crazy.  Miles is better when he isn't touching the ball and just kind of standing over there in a corner.  Harbour is there but not there at the same time, attempting a paltry eight percent of the shots.  Fuller and Kramer aren't utilizing their size very well in that they both sport effective field goal percentages around 40%.

San Diego Defense 09-10
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 51.6 291
Turnover Rate 20.8 149
Off Reb Rate 31.2 101
FTA/FGA 44.0 284
San Diego Defense 10-11
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 50.8 233
Turnover Rate 20.5 202
Off Reb Rate 38.3 317
FTA/FGA 43.0 254

 

 

 

 

 

San Diego's problem is that while they have size, that size isn't really capable of playing very much.  And those big guys don't play big on the defensive glass, which is killing them.

So their interior D is about as bad as it gets, and horribly foul prone.  Richard Howell should get more than zero shots in this game.

The Pomeroy Predictor likes NC State by 21.

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