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The Mark Gottfried Track Record: Offense Part II

I started my analysis of Gottfried's Alabama offenses with a look at shooting percentages and free throw rates, and now to the other two factors: offensive rebounding percentage and turnover rate. In that last installment I noted that Alabama's average conference rank in terms of overall offensive efficiency (or points per possession) was 6.3, over two spots better than their average rank in eFG% (8.6).

Since shooting percentage is by far the most significant factor and his offenses performed better than their shooting would imply, they must have been strong in other areas. One area: free throws. The rates at which they drew and made free throws consistently ranked near the top of the SEC. Another: offensive rebounding.

Look What I Found, Coach

Alabama Offensive Rebounding OR%
Average Rank in SEC 4.1


Alabama led the SEC in offensive rebounding percentage four times in Gottfried's 10 seasons and finished in the top half of the league a total of seven times. They never finished lower than 9th, never grabbed less than 32.5% of their missed shots in any season.


Gottoffreb_medium

Certainly they got enough practice with all of the shots they were missing, and it's good to see no obvious signs of Chronic Brick Fatigue Syndrome here.

OR% SEC Avg OR%
1999 38.9 35.9
2000 36.1 36.6
2001 43.5 35.2
2002 39.5 34.6
2003 34.7 33.4
2004 32.5 33.7
2005 33.2 33.0
2006 38.5 35.5
2007 38.7 33.9
2008 35.3 33.9


Better than league average in eight of 10 seasons. Even as the overall quality of Gottfried's teams went down hill, offensive rebounding remained a strength of his offenses. At NC State, he inherits a couple of very good offensive rebounders in CJ Leslie and Richard Howell, so it is conceivable that State becomes one of the ACC's best offensive rebounding teams in year one. And with shooting accuracy a question mark heading into 2011, it would really help a lot if that came to fruition.

Sir, You Have My Cookies

Alabama Ball Security
TO%
Average Rank in SEC 7.3


Turnovers plagued Lowe's offenses, and that contributed to what was often a substantial negative turnover margin because of State's indifference at the defensive end. Gottfried had a similar problem throughout his tenure at Alabama, though it tended to be less pronounced.

Gotttopct_medium

Just three top-half finishes in 10 years, but after the first three seasons, their turnover rate tended to be high but never reached an extreme, crippling level. So that's something.

TO% SEC Avg TO%
1999 24.8
22.4
2000 22.6
21.9
2001 22.9
21.5
2002 20.2
22.2
2003 20.0
21.0
2004 21.1
21.6
2005 20.5
20.7
2006 21.8
21.4
2007 21.0
19.9
2008 19.0
19.3

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We will be at or near the top of OR % soon

and will have to deal with higher amounts of TO than would be otherwise ideal. Reason being is the the High-Low offense is awesome giving guys the best offensive rebounding position. The whole frontline is continually sending guys on cuts to the basket and screening for one another around the basket that you often have great positioning to grab misses. Early on Tracy Smith would never get the ball passed to him so he would collect offensive rebounds and score that way KABOOM! Then Lowe had the great idea of pulling him out 20’ from the basket to pick n’ roll with his PG du jour. A reason why the TO’s might be heavy is that you do put the ball in the hands of bigs in the high post more often and rely on there passing skills more than most teams. You’ll see TO spread out amongst the team instead of just high TO on a PG. But that is the way Gott likes to play it- he said early on that his main principal is that you’ve got to pass the ball or its not going to get passed to you the next time around.

by Sportin'L.A.Gear on May 24, 2011 3:02 PM EDT reply actions  

I am excited

for the offensive rebounding. I always hate it when coaches don’t realize the value of those extra possessions (I don’t like that those extra possessions might be offset by the turnovers). Are there any stats for FG% of shots produced after offensive rebounds and how they compare to the typical shooting % of a team?

by PACKHOOLIGAN on May 24, 2011 6:27 PM EDT reply actions  

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