Mark Gottfried thinks NC State needs 10 or 11 conference wins to reach the NCAA tournament:

Eleven wins is the number first-year coach Mark Gottfried has set as the goal for his team to make the NCAA tournament.

"If you take a step back and look at the season, I would say we have to get there," Gottfried said. "In the grand scheme of things, (our goal) is 10 or 11 (wins)."

That seems to be the generally agreed upon baseline at this point, though if we were to somehow take two of three from UNC/Duke and finish at 9-7, that would be a different story. The odds of that are highly unlikely, of course, especially since two of those three are on the road.