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A look at the 2014 NC State Football schedule using S&P+ projections

For your reference: http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2014/5/9/5698590/2014-college-football-rankings-advanced-stats

First off, let's get the "Ohh! Ohh!" moment out of the way... NC State is projected to finish 66th, a +19 change from 2013's 85th rank finish.

The out-of-conference slate is projected to be exactly what we all expected it to be: weak. Georgia Southern comes in at 125 (out of 128 D-1A teams), Old Dominion is projected to be 120, and South Florida comes in at 86. The final Wolfpack OOC opponent for 2014 is Presbyterian, a D-1AA school, and therefore not including in these rankings. I don't really care to crunch all the numbers (besides, I'm sure someone on some site will do it eventually), but I have a hard time imaging many, if any, other schools having a weaker OOC schedule.

2014 Schedule with opponent S&P+ Projections:

  • 8/30 vs Georgia Southern - 125
  • 9/6 vs Old Dominion - 120
  • 9/13 at South Florida - 86
  • 9/20 vs Presbyterian - NR
  • 9/27 vs Florida State - 1 (... oh boy)
  • 10/4 at Clemson - 5 (... oh boy, part II)
  • 10/11 vs Boston College - 69
  • 10/18 at Louisville - 16
  • 11/1 at Syracuse - 67
  • 11/8 vs Georgia Tech - 44
  • 11/15 vs Wake Forest - 83
  • 11/29 at UNC - 35

So on the schedule, State has two of the bottom ten overall schools (GSU, ODU), and two of the bottom ten power conference schools (USF, WF), depending on how you wish to view the American Athletic Conference.

Other schools of note:

  • Virginia Tech - 19
  • Notre Dame - 25
  • Miami - 30
  • Pittsburgh - 39
  • Duke - 56
  • East Carolina - 57
  • Virginia - 62
  • Appalachian State - 123
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