A Quick Glance At Cincinnati

Rob Leifheit-USA TODAY Sports

Cincy Offense 12-13
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 46.2 274
Turnover Rate 19.4 139
Off Reb Rate 38.7 10
FTA/FGA 35.5 189

Cincy Defense 12-13
Four Factors Percent Nat'l Rank
eFG% 43.3 9
Turnover Rate 20.2 153
Off Reb Rate 29.8 89
FTA/FGA 32.7 194

Cincinnati lost three key players off of last year's team but still has Sean Kilpatrick, who had a huge workload last year and figures to run the show again. He had been an accurate three-point shooter prior to 2013, though his accuracy dipped last season to about 31% with a career-high 267 attempts from deep. He did make half his twos, though.

No player on the roster who got a decent amount of minutes had an eFG% north of 50, which is why the team was collectively so bad last year. They made up for it in part with offensive boards, and the Bearcats return several big men who were pretty good corralling rebounds at that end. The Bearcats have been solid-or-better at grabbing offensive boards throughout Mick Cronin's tenure, and if we get killed there, it might prove the difference between an upset and a loss.

Like NC State, Cincinnati doesn't have much in the way of reliable post scorers, though the Bearcats do have the edge in experience.

The Pomeroy Predictor likes Cincinnati by five.

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