clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Glancing at Georgia

 G RS RA Diff ExpW-L ActW-L 1RunGms AVG OBP SLG OPS SOS ISR
UGA 62 439 338 101 39-23 39-22-1 9-5 .306 .388 .479 .867 40 31
NCSU 60* 416 244 172 45-15 41-20 9-8 .302 .392 .461 .853 68 34
[* -- GoPack hasn't updated the stats to include Sunday's game.]

According to Boyd Nation's park factors, Georgia's Foley Field is a significant pitcher's park; the park's 79 factor means that 21% fewer runs are scored at Foley vs. a neutral, average scoring environment. Considering that, and the fact that most SEC venues are favorable to pitchers, it's fair to say UGa's offense is a good bit better than it looks on paper.

The big bats:

 AVG OBP SLG HR XBH
Gordon Beckham .397 .505 .781 24 44
Rich Poythress .364 .455 .641 15 34
Bryce Massanari .346 .429 .548 10 23

Beckham was just selected at 1.8 in today's MLB draft; welcome to the White Sox, Gordon! (Please hurry to the majors. Thanks.)

The pitching...

 HR/9IP K/9 BB/9 K/BB dERA AVG OBP SLG OPS ISO
UGA 1.1 7.6 3.3 2.3 5.07 .267 .344 .412 .756 .145
NCSU 0.64 8.3 3.5 2.4 4.23 .237 .320 .351 .671 .114

Adjust those defense-independent ERAs for park--NC State's drops to 4.02, while UGA's jumps to 5.96--and the Pack's advantage here becomes that much more evident.

Georgia's weekend starters...

 IP HR/9 K/9 BB/9 K/BB ERA dERA
Trevor Holder (Gm 1) 78.3 1.15 6.2 2.4 2.6 4.60 5.17
Nathan Moreau (Gm 2) 65.7 1.51 7.0 4.1 1.7 4.93 6.32
Nick Montgomery (Gm 3) 51.7 1.04 9.2 2.4 3.8 4.01 4.16

There's no real ace going for the Bulldogs, and that's always encouraging; of course, I thought we'd hit USC's similarly vulnerable-looking staff around, and that didn't exactly happen. Georgia, like South Carolina, has a bit of a HR problem; Holder and Moreau have allowed 10 and 11 HRs, respectively, while the other usual weekend starter (Stephen Dodson) has allowed 15.

If Georgia takes a lead into the 8th/9th inning, we'll definitely be seeing this man:

 IP HR/9 K/9 BB/9 K/BB ERA dERA
Joshua Fields 31.7 0.57 15.9 5.1 3.1 2.27 2.72

And at that point, we'll be pretty much toast. Good heavens, look at that strikeout rate.