clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Football's Ongoing Turnover Problem Pt. 2

On Monday I looked at the defense. Here's how the offense has fared:

INTs Thrown INT% ATT/INT FumRec Fumbles FumRec% LG AVG INT% LG AVG FumRec%
NCSU O 04-06 46 (2)
4.4 (10)
23.0 (10)
24 (11)
57 (6)
42.1 (12)
3.7 53.6
NCSU O 07-09 50 (3)
3.8 (10)
26.3 (10)
41 (2)
68 (3)
60.3 (1)
3.4 52.3
NCSU O 04-09 96 (1)
4.0 (10)
24.7 (10)
65 (7)
125 (7)
52.0 (9)
3.5 52.9

(INTs Thrown, FumRec, Fumbles categories ranked from most (1) to fewest (12), as in previous table.)

Behold the whims of fumble luck!  Seems Amato's last few teams had serious problems recovering their own fumbles.  Let's blame T.A.  The TOB-era recovery percentage is heavily impacted by an incredible 2008 season that saw State's offense recover 22 of 28 fumbles; we were in the 47-48%  range in '07 and '09.  No bad luck to speak of here.

The INT picture is consistent,or at least appears that way because the 07-09 bucket includes an unhealthy dose of Evans and Beck.  For his career, Russell Wilson has averaged an INT for every 54.4 attempts, which is a 1.8 INT percentage.  Even last season, when Wilson returned to earth a bit and threw 11 INTs, his INT rate was still very good by ACC standards. 

As far as the big picture: since 2004, no ACC defense has forced fewer turnovers than NC State's.  No ACC offense has committed more turnovers than NC State's.  All of which amounts to a -47 turnover margin, far and away the ACC's worst.  (Second worst: Maryland at -26.)  That's... unfortunate. Virginia Tech and Wake Forest are 1-2 in turnover margin since '04 at +60 and +40, respectively.