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NNCSRPOTW: McAdoo, Mitchell, and UVA's Tourney Hopes

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Geoff Burke

With the midweek bye sapping my ideas for N. C. State-related posts (what will I do this summer?), I started thinking about penning a tome on the ACC's most over and underrated players, which led me to James Michael McAdoo and Akil Mitchell, which in turn led me to thinking about Virginia's NCAA hopes, which, despite their overall record and standing the ACC, are rather bubbly. So, without further ado, it's your non-N. C. State-related post of the week (or NNCSRPOTW). I'm guessing it will not catch on like the tweets thing, but there is a gratuitous cheerleader pic!

At the conclusion of last basketball season James Michael McAdoo (or JimMikeMac for short) was rumored to be a first round pick if he declared for the draft despite the fact that no one had really seen him play very much since he was stuck behind Tyler Zeller and John Henson. JimMikeMac might have cost himself a good bit of coin by deciding to stick around and prove himself, as his increased usage has exposed him as an undersized, overhyped post player.

Yet, largely due to that hype and his usage-inflated 12.8 points per game, I find it a near certainty that he shows up as at least an honorable mention all-ACC selection following the season. Meanwhile, as the media chirps on and on about JimMikeMac, unheralded Virginia forward Akil Mitchell seems to never get any press. Enjoy the head-to-head comparison of these two gentlemen below:

Player

True Shooting %

Effective Field Goal %

Offensive Rebounding %

Defensive Rebounding %

Total Rebounding %

Assist %

Steal %

Block %

Mitchell

56.9

53.8

11.9

25.2*

19.0

13.0

2.9

1.8

JimMikeMac

47.5

45.0

9.2

19.4

17.1

7.8

2.7

1.0

Player

Turnover %

Usage %

Offensive Rating

Defensive Rating

Offensive Win Shares

Defensive Win Shares

Total Win Shares

Mitchell

12.6

24.4

115.2

80.2*

1.9

2.7

4.6

JimMikeMac

15.0

27.7

95.7

92.5

0.3

2.0

2.3

*Leads ACC

If Mitchell, who averages 12.7 points and nine boards a game, is not at least a second-team all-ACC selection, he was robbed.

Mitchell seems like the perfect symbol for the unheralded Hoos. Despite an 18-6 record and third place standing in the ACC, UVa's RPI was just #81 on February 11th's release of the official rankings. According to collegerpi.com, New Mexico (with an RPI of 74 in 1999) was the lowest ranked team to receive an at-large bid since 1994. And UNM was an outlier; it's rare for teams even ranked outside the top 60 to get an at-large nod from the NCAA. Virginia has some work to do.

The Hoos travel to Miami (#2 RPI), UNC (#36), and FSU (#65), and they have a home game with Duke (#1), so they will have plenty of opportunities to improve both their RPI and their position in the conference standings, and they can likely do the former without achieving the latter. Still, the possibility remains that Virginia will finish ahead of both N. C. State (#17) and UNC in the standings (it has a two-game lead and a win in hand over both with just seven games to play) but get left out of the big dance in favor of its southern neighbors. I guess that's what you get for losing to 3-22 Old Dominion.