In addition to projecting how each team will stack up overall in 2016, S&P+ can also be used to ballpark win totals for each team. ACC team win total projections, both overall and in league play, can be seen over at Football Study Hall.
To pretty much no one’s surprise, NC State is most likely to win five to seven games. There is a roughly 70% chance that NC State’s win total falls within that range, in S&P+’s estimation. Six or seven wins is about a 50-50 proposition against all other win totals.
Looking at league games only, there is a 57% chance that the Pack wins either three or four games. Dave Doeren is still looking for his first season of .500 or better in ACC games. I’m not confident he’ll get over that hump in 2016 but it does look doable in 2017.
The Atlantic of course is top-heavy, with FSU, Clemson, and Louisville each projected at 5+ conference wins. No other team in the division is projected to win more than three. In the Coastal, four schools are projected to win 4-5 games, so it’s, y’know, another typical year for that division.