FanPost

NS State only a slight favorite against Florida State

NC State has had a strong season. If not for a 1 point loss Miami, they're probably ranked among the top-15 teams in the country, and they'd have an incredibly strong chance to play in the ACC title game.

In reality, they did lose that game. That means NC State has no room for error any more. If they're going to win their first ACC title since 1979 they can't lose another game this season.

This week, that means going to Tallahassee and beating a hot Florida State team that's won 3 of their last 4 games.

Odds

Oddsmakers do favor NC State in this one. The Wolfpack are 2.5 point favorites, and they're given -135 odds to win the game outright. That's an implied 57.4% chance to win the game. Meanwhile, Florida State is given +120 odds, or an implied 45.5% chance to pull off the upset.

Matchup History

NC State and Florida State have played each other 40 times in their history. NC State has won just 14 of those game. So, history isn't on their side here.

However, they've been turning the tide recently. The Wolfpack have won 3 of the last 4 games they've played against Florida State. That includes a road win in 2017.

Still, NC State is 5-16 in Tallahassee in their history. So, this likely won't be the walk in the park that many think it should be.

Conclusion

This is a must win for NC State. They need it if they're going to compete for the ACC title. One more loss and that dream is likely dead. So, they can't afford to take Florida State lightly.

They need to remember their history, and keep in mind that Florida State has been playing well over the last few weeks. Take them seriously, and this is a game that NC State should win by multiple scores. Underestimate the Seminoles and there could be danger.