FanPost

WBB: State Hosts VaTech

Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports

(State vs. VaTech; Sunday 4p.m.; January 23rd; ACCN)

One of my favorite player match-ups is that between longtime friends, former high school opponents and former AAU Teammates Elissa Cunane and Elizabeth Kitley. Elissa attended Northern Guilford High School in Summerfield, North Carolina while Elizabeth attended Northwest Guilford High School in Summerfield, North Carolina and both along with Tech's Cayla King played for the Greensboro Lady Gaters.

Here is a video of Elissa playing while in high school (a bit unclear but worth watching):

In VaTech's 65-54 road win over Duke, VaTech started six-six junior Elizabeth Kitley, five-nine grad student Aisha Sheppard, five-six sophomore Georgia Amoore, six-foot junior Cayla King and five-nine senior Kayana Traylor. Six-one junior Azana Baines played 28 minutes off the bench. Tech is not a deep team. Their offense revolves around Kitley who scored 19 against Duke while getting 8 boards. Kitley is averaging 19.3 ppg and 10.6 rpg. Sheppard as last year is the primary arc shooter for VaTech attempting 139 shots this season to date and hitting 51.

From Nolan, VaTech is 14-4 overall, is 6-1 in conference, has a Live RPI of 20, has a NET of 19, has an ELO of 24, has a SOS of 36 and has a quad one record of 2-4. Tech's best wins are those over RPI 20 Duke by scores of 77-55 at home and 65-54 on the road.

Nolan for State shows State with a 17-2 overall record, a conference record of 8-0, a Live RPI of 3, a NET of 1, an ELO of 2, a SOS of 3 and a quad one record of 5-2. The NET, ELO and SOS numbers are fitting of a team with State's talent and heart; a team which outscored Louisville 31-8 in the fourth quarter to make a statement and get a win. The Louisville win is State's best to date.

To the predicted winners:

R1 picks State over VaTech 74-63 with an 82% win probability and ELO picks State over VaTech 75-61 with a 78% win probability. Lobo, who was the analyst for State's game against Louisville, at Her Hoops Stats gives State an 88.2% win probability and by a score of 74-59.6.

I cannot say I disagree with the above win probabilities. I can say I remember last year after State traveled to Louisville, the number one team in the nation, and beat them 74-60, they lost at UNC 76-69. Thinking that State fans at the game are not going to let State suffer a letdown game defeat.