N. C. State's women's basketball team host the Charlotte 49ers Wednesday night at 7 p.m. in Reynolds Coliseum. The game will be streamed on ACCNX via the ESPN app.
State has a 7 and 0 record against Charlotte playing at Reynolds three times, in Charlotte two times, in Fayetteville once and at an unnamed (unnamed at GoPack) neutral site once that being in 1978. The biggest margin for a win was at the unnamed neutral site in 1978 where State won 112-43. Anyone who knows the history of the Pack Women should not be surprised by that 1978 score.
Charlotte, 2-0, beat Appalachian State 98-94 in double overtime at Charlotte, and Coppin State 57-38 also at Charlotte. Against Coppin State Charlotte started five-seven fifth year player Jada McMillian, five-eight redshirt sophomore Dazia Lawrence, five-nine fifth year player Mikayla Boykin, six-two sophomore Mya McGraw and six-one junior Jacee Busick. Six-two freshman Keanna Rembert played 20 minutes off the bench. Charlotte does have a six-six player, redshirt junior Angel Middleton, but she is yet to play this season.
Lawrence is the leading scorer for Charlotte averaging 20 ppg shooting 438 from the floor; 750 from the arc (3 of 4). Mikayla Boykin is second on the team in scoring at 19.5 ppg shooting 324 from the floor; 222 from the arc. To date Boykin is Charlotte's volume arc shooter but has only hit 2 of 9 shots. Lawrence is also the 49ers top rebounder at 9 rpg.
One might remember Mikayla Boykin from her playing days at Duke. She was part of Duke's 2017 class, played at Duke from 2017 to 2021, was ranked 20th in her class by Hoopgurlz after being ranked number one in her class before a high school senior year knee injury and was the NCBCA 2017 player of the year. Note that Kai Crutchfield was the NCBCA player of the year in 2016 and Elissa Cunane in 2018.
Going to warrennolan.com, State 3-0, has a NET of 2, a RPI of 52, an ELO of 10, a SOS of 133 and no quadrant 1 wins. Charlotte, 2-0, has a NET of 92, a RPI of 107, an ELO of 54 and a SOS of 205. Charlotte also has no quadrant 1 wins.
State is predicted to win by warrennolan by a score of 73-53 with a 94% chance of a win. Lobo from Her Hoop Stats gives State a 98.5% chance of a win when playing at home and by the score of 82.8 to 52.9.
I will split Lobo and warrennolan to go with State by 25.