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Opponent Preview: Elon (Step-by-Step Edition)

Meet the Phoenix... We’ll make it better, the second time around

GoPack.com, James Guillory

Who’s the Pack playing?

Opponent: Elon

Mascot: The Musks | School Location: Elon, NC | Conference: Colonial

2019 Record: 13-11 (2-1, T-2nd) | 2018 RPI Rank: 122

2018 Record: 36-23 (16-8, 2nd) | 2018 RPI Rank: 110

2017 Record: 24-32 (12-12, 6th) | 2017 RPI Rank: 210


When? Where? How do I watch?

Location: Doak Field at Dail Park (Raleigh, NC)

Game Time(s): Tuesday, Mar 25 @ 6:00pm

TV: ACC Network Extra (ACCNE)

Radio: WKNC 88.1 in Raleigh, GoPack All-Access

Live Stats: Sidearm Stats


Tell me about this team

Well, we already previewed these dudes a little over a month ago, so let’s not reinvent the wheel here just for the sake of added words. NC State won the first match-up of these two teams, 5-0, on the road. Catch your recap here in case you want to brush up before this one.

So what’s happened since these two teams last met? Glad you asked... Elon has gone 10-10 since their last meeting with the Wolfpack. They haven’t won more than two games in a row during that stretch, but haven’t lost more than three in a row, either.

The Phoenix opened up conference play this past weekend, taking the last two games of the series versus Charleston after losing the series opener by letting Charleston come from behind late.

Elon also has series wins over Wagner (6-14, RPI 222) and Western Carolina (10-11, 151), as well as a split of a two-game series against Wake Forest (15-10, 115). They lost only one three-game series, vs Bryant (12-9, 46), but also dropped both games of a two-game midweek set versus Cancer (12-11, 137).

Pitching was supposed to carry this team, and it is has - and has needed to. The offense is slashing just a collective .256/.373/.380 (by comparison, NC State has a .294/.398/.482 team slash line). Walks, however, have become an issue for the pitching staff. They’re holding opponents to a .219/.345/.311 slash line, but they’ve issued 128 walks in 220.0 innings. Remove stud pitcher and come-June MLB millionaire George Kirby (3 BB in 36.2 IP) and it gets really rough looking.


Who’s on the mound for these guys?

Tuesday: RHP Mason Daniels (RS-JR)


Key Players:

Offense

1B Joe Satterfield (JR) - .386 BA, .500 OBP, .580 SLG, 88 AB, 7 2B, 2 3B, 2 HR, 20 R, 16 RBI, 20 BB, 21 K, 1-1 SB. Satterfield was a solid hitter as a freshman and sophomore, but the undersized switch-hitting first baseman is having a breakout year by all means. The 3-hole hitter has reached base safely multiple times in 20 of 24 games this season. He was 1-for-2 with 2 BB and a K in the first meeting.

3B Garrett Stonehouse (JR) - .311 BA, .475 OBP, .378 SLG, 74 AB, 5 2B, 0 3B, 0 HR, 15 R, 16 RBI, 18 BB, 14 K, 2-5 SB. After starting off his season 1-for-14 (including an 0-for-2 day with 2 BB against NC State), Stonehouse is hitting .367 since. Elon’s 2-hole hitter is one of the more patient hitters in their lineup and among the hardest to strikeout.

SS Cam Devanney (RS-JR) - .301 BA, .422 OBP, .494 SLG, 83 AB, 2 2B, 1 3B, 4 HR, 21 R, 22 RBI, 13 BB, 14 K, 1-2 SB. The clean-up hitter has hit a three-run homer in each of his last two games. This season is continuing the upward trend that has been his career. Went 0-for-3 with a BB last time against the Pack.

2B Adam Spurlin (JR) - .260 BA, .372 OBP, .493 SLG, 73 AB, 5 2B, 0 3B, 4 HR, 14 R, 11 RBI, 12 BB, 30 K, 3-4 SB. Spurlin is a transfer from D-II Augusta University by way of Florence-Darlington JUCO. Went 0-for-3 with 3 K’s against NC State last time. Aggressive swinger who strikes out a lot. Also pitches a little, but only has four appearances on the mound.

RF Ty Adcock (RS-JR) - .250 BA, .327 OBP, .396 SLG, 96 AB, 4 2B, 2 3B, 2 HR, 11 R, 19 RBI, 10 BB, 31 K, 1-2 SB. He’s having a decent rebound season after a sophomore slump a year ago (.210/.300/.362). Adcock strikes out a ton, though, without being an overly patient hitter. Attack him with pressure pitches and you can get the right-handed hitter with the big leg kick out. Was 0-for-4 with a K in the first meeting with State.

Pitching

RHP Mason Daniels (RS-JR) - 2-0, 4.91 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, .223 OBA, 20.0 K%, 13.6 BB%, 25.2 IP, 21 H, 17 R, 14 ER, 15 BB, 22 K. Daniels actually started Sunday’s game at Charleston, but got hooked quickly after giving up 4 runs (all earned) on 3 hits and 3 walks in just 1.0 innings of work. Elon did come back to win the game, but it came at the expense of using SO LHP Jared Wetherbee (3.2 IP, 68 pitches), who they were likely saving for this game since he was excellent against NC State (5.2 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 7 K) in the first match-up of the two teams.

RHP Ty Adcock (RS-JR) - 2-1, 3 SV, 1.32 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, .220 OBA, 19.6 K%, 5.4 BB%, 13.2 IP, 11 H, 3 R, 2 ER, 3 BB, 11 K. The Elon starting right fielder is also the closer for the pitching staff. He threw 3.0 innings on Sunday in earning the win in relief, but he only needed 24 pitches to do so, so he’ll be available for this one. He’s not a huge strikeout guy (5 of his 11 K’s came in his 3.0-inning appearance against Bryant), but he gets a lot of weak contact flyouts.

RHP Naushon Galbraith (RS-JR) - 0-1, 0 SV, 2.61 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, .188 OBA, 20.5 K%, 18.2 BB%, 10.1 IP, 4 H, 5 R, 3 ER, 8 BB, 9 K. Was a pretty ineffective pitcher for his first two years on campus, then redshirted last year without appearing in a game, and has bounced back this year as a good, dependable arm. Can sometimes fly open with his front arm which can cause control issues.

RHP Kyle Greenler (FR) - 0-0, 0 SV, 3.24 ERA, 1.79 WHIP, .277 OBA, 18.8 K%, 13.8 BB%, 16.2 IP, 18 H, 8 R, 6 ER, 11 BB, 15 K. Captain Rec Spec McAngrychin has done decently well this season (start again Maryland notwithstanding). The freshman is tied for the team lead in appearances and is one of the top bullpen arms for the Phoenix.

RHP Brandon Justice (SR) - 1-0, 0 SV, 5.06 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, .226 OBA, 25.0 K%, 16.2 BB%, 16.0 IP, 12 H, 9 R, 9 ER, 11 BB, 17 K. Former JUCO teammate of NC State SR 1B Evan Edwards, the two just missed out last game on facing each other. Justice started his career with a redshirt season at Charleston before going to the JUCO route. He’s tied with Greenler and lefty specialist Dean McCarthy for the team lead in appearances. Walks are killing his overall numbers (and effectiveness), but he has a good arm.


Quick! Fun Facts!

You now have the Step-by-Step theme song in your head and I will not apologize.

Tuesday night is ‘Dollar Dog Night’ at The Doak. Go get your fill on $1 hot dogs and take down the world hot dog eating record all by on your own! (Trained professionals and dudes in coveralls only)

NC State owns a 43-13 record all-time against Elon, including wins in six of the last seven meetings.

If you don’t think I copy-and-pasted that last line from the first preview with minimal updates, you’re kidding yourself.


Prediction

Elon is just 1-5 against RPI Top-100 opponents (their lone victory being a 1-0 win over RPI #46 Bryant on March 10th), but baseball is a funny game in that any team can get hot on a given night and take down the best of the best. That being said, an opponent starting a pitcher with control problems against this NC State team that is among the nation’s best at drawing walks? That’s not a great recipe for success.

JR RHP Alec Barger will be on the mound for NC State, making his first appearance in almost two full weeks. The deep NC State bullpen should have a good number of arms at the ready for this one, should they be needed.

Outcome: The last game was close until the Pack pulled away late. This one won’t be a blowout either, but will have more offense. State wins 9-4.