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NC State vs. Clemson preview: One for all the bubbles

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Joshua S. Kelly-USA TODAY Sports

Clemson @ StatSheet
2014 Stats
2014 Roster
2014 Schedule

Clemson Offense 13-14
Four Factors Percent National Rank
eFG% 46.2 305
Turnover Rate 18.4 176
Off Reb Rate 36.0 41
FT Rate
35.3 292

The quest for secondary scoring options--both NC State and Clemson know it well. The Tigers are getting about 17 points per game from K.J. McDaniels, who like T.J. Warren accounts for a huge chunk of his team's offense. No other Clemson player averages more than 8.8 points per game, and none has proven consistent enough to warrant an above-average workload. Not that that's stopping certain individuals. You know who you are!

In conference games, Clemson ranks 14th in offensive efficiency, 14th in eFG%, 14th in 2FG% 14th in turnover rate, and 12th in 3FG%. There is one player other than McDaniels with an eFG% north of 50, and he had to miss the Tigers' last game because of illness.

There are a couple of ways Clemson can make up for its poor shooting from the field; this is a pretty good offensive rebounding team, and the Tigers are also outstanding from the free throw line. Unfortunately, they just can't seem to generate a lot of free throw opportunities. Fouls and rebounds will be a couple key areas to watch--if State's defense can effectively close out possessions, the struggle becomes that much more significant for the Tigers.

Starters

Rod Hall (6-1, 210) -- Hall expanded his repertoire a bit this season; he is a competent 14-41 from three after attempting 14 three-pointers in the prior two seasons combined. His assist and turnover rates have never been better, and he's improved his free throw shooting considerably. It's his two-point inaccuracy that continues to hurt him.

Damarcus Harrison (6-5, 205) -- He takes 23% of the shots while he's on the court, which ranks third among players in the rotation ... and he is shooting 34.2% inside the arc. His three-point shooting (31.5%) is almost better. In 2+ years of college hoops, he's yet to post an eFG% above 40.5 in a single season.

K.J. McDaniels (6-6, 200) -- The offense is perpetually taking on water but it isn't for the lack of heroic efforts to keep it afloat by McDaniels, who is shooting 85.8% at the free throw line, 34% from three, and 51.6% inside the arc. He is an excellent offensive rebounder and shot blocker as well.

Jaron Blossomgame (6-7, 215) -- Good offensive rebounder. Will also do, you know, some other things probably.

Landry Nnoko (6-10, 250) -- Nnoko was the guy who had to sit out Clemson's last game, and I'm guessin' he'll be well enough to play Tuesday night, but if not, it's a significant loss. He is the team's best offensive rebounder, and obviously any help Clemson can get there, it needs. He is the Tigers' second-best shot blocker behind only McDaniels; those two have combined to make this one of the best shot-botherin' outfits in the nation.

Bench

Adonis Filer (6-2, 190), Jordan Roper (5-11, 165), Josh Smith (6-8, 260), Ibrahim Djambo (6-10, 215), Sidy Djitte (6-10, 240). Brad Brownell (or Brownlee, as he prefers to be called) is spreading the minutes in the finest tradition of the "well, shit, that ain't workin'; let's try this thing here" coaching method.

Roper has the second-highest workload on the team, and while his two-point accuracy has improved (would have been nearly impossible for it not to), his three-point shooting is down from 41.4% last season to 31.5% in this one. Filer is a mixed bag of who-the-heck-knows, while Smith, Djitte, and Djambo are best served focusing on the stuff that does not involve shooting.

Clemson Defense 13-14
Four Factors Percent National Rank
eFG% 42.6 2
Turnover Rate 17.7 214
Off Reb Rate 32.0 203
FT Rate
28.9 8

Clemson's defensive turnover rate has declined in each year since Brownell took over, as the Tigers get further removed from Oliver Purnell's system and personnel. This is not a bad thing, because this is not a unit that needs takeaways to thrive. Interior defense and the ability to avoid fouls have carried these guys.

In conference play, the rebounding troubles have persisted, while their 2FG% defense (understandably) hasn't been quite as good. They're still blocking shots at a good clip, and they rank first in the ACC in defensive FT rate.

The Pomeroy Predictor likes Clemson by five.