NC State football over/under at 7.5 wins, so ... take the over? Sure, take the over

One group of Vegas handicappers has set the over/under on NC State’s win total this fall at 7.5, and given the way they set the money line, they figure it is more likely that State will top that number than fall short of it. This is making you very uncomfortable, I can tell.

ESPN’s FPI metric also expects the Wolfpack to exceed that 7.5-win threshold, and as far as FPI is concerned, NC State is only a heavy underdog in one game this fall (at Florida State.)

The Wolfpack’s win probabilities for each game, per FPI:

vs. South Carolina — 62.4%
vs. Marshall — 94.3%
vs. Furman — 98.7%
at Florida State --- 13.7%
vs. Syracuse — 79.3%
vs. Louisville — 50.5%
at Pittsburgh — 65.9%
at Notre Dame — 42.2%
vs. Clemson — 36.6%
at Boston College — 76.3%
at Wake Forest — 71.9%
vs. UNC — 71%

This is a wee bit optimistic in a few places, I would say, but regardless, turn your optimism up to its maximum setting, because this is the offseason and what else are you supposed to do?