FPI’s prognosis of NC State offers up optimism

Based on NC State’s performance up to this point, FPI projects the Wolfpack to hit the seven-win mark this season—the system also has State favored in four of its last five games. I’d feel more confident about hitting that win total with a healthy Devin Leary, but no doubt it’s still doable.

Here are the win probabilities for NC State in its remaining games, according to FPI:

vs. Miami — 30.8%
vs. FSU — 67%
vs. Liberty — 71.7%
at Syracuse — 69.6%
vs. GT — 73.9%

FPI considers those last four opponents to be the worst four teams on NC State’s schedule and after watching Duke’s offense, I’m not sure I can buy that, but it does go to show how much more forgivable the back half of the schedule can be. If you could only have Leary for one half of the season, you’d definitely want him for the first half. So there’s that!

How do you think NC State closes out the season?