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The ACC in SP+, Week 10: Well ... NC State has quality losses!

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Is this reassuring?

NCAA Football: North Carolina State at Pittsburgh Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

NC State’s 4-3 record features a tinge of disappointment after the missed opportunity against Miami, but say this much for the Wolfpack: it has no bad losses! So we got that goin’ for us. Virginia Tech, UNC, and Miami each rate in the SP+ top 25 (and have for most, if not all, of the season).

ACC Standings by SP+

Team Wk 10 SP+ Rtg (Rank) Offense Rank Defense Rank
Team Wk 10 SP+ Rtg (Rank) Offense Rank Defense Rank
Clemson 26.9 (3) 3 7
Notre Dame 19.2 (8) 19 12
UNC 17.2 (12) 6 39
Virginia Tech 13.3 (20) 10 46
Miami 12.1 (23) 39 22
Pitt 6.5 (39) 93 16
Louisville 6.1 (42) 13 94
BC 2.5 (52) 43 69
Virginia 2.3 (54) 62 54
Wake Forest 0.4 (66) 81 53
NC State -0.4 (71) 53 82
Georgia Tech -0.7 (72) 71 65
FSU -3.3 (85) 79 77
Duke -3.7 (87) 112 45
Syracuse -9.4 (110) 115 79

This gives you some idea of how good State can be on a good day—good enough to beat a top-40ish team, yes; good enough to nearly knock off a top-25 team, sure. That they could manage the latter without Devin Leary is a pleasant—and ultimately painful!—development.

SP+ sees Florida State as roughly a Duke equivalent. I don’t know what’s stranger: that FSU is roughly equivalent to Duke in football, or that the same is true for basketball.

Anyway, I’m trying to stare at “FSU = Duke” for as long as it takes for me to start relaxing and worry less about the fact that the Seminoles still have above-average individual talent on that roster.